You Think What?

There is little doubt that rushing and passing stats are the predominant tool of choice for handicappers looking to evaluate team strength and the accuracy of the point spread for any given game. My analysis is no different in some respects–many of my systems rely on fundamental ratings such as ROF and PDE that use yards-per-play stats to reveal situations that have been profitable versus the line. NFL System

What gets lost in all the attention directed to how well teams rush and pass the ball; however, is the fact that there are other equally important aspects of team play which can be just as predictive in nature as some of the more commonly used measurements of team skill.

One such area that frequently flies under the radar of handicappers involves statistics related to team penalties and as we will explore here, certain types of penalties can be a particularly powerful handicapping tool in the right situations.

I have always found penalties to be an intriguing aspect of the NFL game and their effect is undeniable–who hasn’t felt the sting of a mistimed penalty that suddenly breathes new life into a drive that seemed to be over just moments before with a spread victory all but sown up. Inopportune penalties can cost a team a game in the blink of an eye and turn a spread winner into a loser faster than T.O. can autograph a ball (in the end zone of course).

I have actually tracked penalty yardage stats since the 1994 season and penalty yardage differential (a per-game average that takes penalties called on Opponents minus penalties called on the team in question) is the basis for another successful system that is 78-14 ATS in the past 13 seasons.

While it’s good to know how many yards of penalties a team averages per game, or had in a previous game, this type of analysis does not tell us anything about what particular KINDS of penalties a team is being assessed and the actual manner in which the final penalty yardage total listed in the box score was arrived at. NFL Betting System

Is the team in question taking a large number of offensive holding calls because of a lack of size on the line? Or, are they getting hit with an abundance of pass interference calls because of a second-string CB forced into duty due to an injury? By separating penalties into more detailed categories and looking at them based on the number of calls, as opposed to yards, we can start to have better answers for questions like those posed above.

Ultimately, almost every penalty called in the modern NFL game can be assigned to one of the following 6 categories:

1) False Start Penalties (FSP)
2) Offensive Holding Penalties (OHP)
3) Play Book Execution Penalties (PBEP)
4) Defensive Line Penalties (DLP)
5) Defensive Secondary Penalties (DSP)
6) Dumb Penalties (DMP)

The category that is the focus of this article is the 3rd one listed: Play Book Execution Penalties. This group includes any infraction related to the breakdown of play calls. Examples of these include: Illegal formations, shifts, motion, snaps, participation, substitutions and procedures; Delay of game (in certain cases); Illegal forward passes; 12 men on the field; Ineligible receivers and so on. For a full breakdown on the other categories, please consult page 11 of the 2007 NFL Game Sheets Guide.

The league average for PBEP is usually around 0.7 calls per game (on each team). Arizona was worst in the league in 2006 for PBEP’s against with a per-game average of 1.5 while Pittsburgh and Denver were 1-2 in the league with a PBEP against average of 0.2 and 0.4 per game respectively.

As a stand-alone statistic, PBEP is a good yardstick for measuring the quality of a team’s coaching staff and also provides an indication if players are being used in schemes where they are comfortable and have the necessary skills to succeed. It’s no accident that teams like the Steelers and Patriots have a low PBEPA average year after year while others, such as the Cardinals, rank near the bottom.

When it comes to handicapping versus the point spread, PBEPA becomes a useful tool when teams with an extremely high PBEPA are examined.

Since the 2002 season, teams with a PBEPA average more than double the league average of 0.7 (> +1.4) are a dismal 183-229 ATS (44.4%) against the number. In just the past 5 seasons, placing bets based on this simple strategy alone would have netted you a tidy profit of $2,720 with a wager of $110 to win back $100 on each game.

For those that like to have a lot of action early in the season, this particular system is for you: a total 49 games were involved between Week 2 and 5 since ’02 and the ATS record in these cases: 7-42 ATS!

There is actually a second ‘Building Block’, or, Primary condition that I like to use for this situation and that is: to only include games where the opponent has a higher Defensive Secondary Penalty Against Avg (DSPA). When this condition is added, the system’s record is reduced to 61-117 ATS (34.2%) and profits in the past 5 years jump to $4,990.

DSP penalties involve flags thrown mostly on Cornerbacks and Safeties, usually for Defensive Pass Interference and Illegal Contact. The complex relationship between PBE and DS penalties is something that requires further study on my part, but, suffice it to say that for whatever reasons, they are firmly intertwined and the drastic improvement that this situation gains when only teams with a higher DSPA average are included is proof of their correlation. NFL Football System Picks

Rounding out this system, are a number of Secondary conditions, all of which make sense given the context of the Primary conditions involved. Large Underdogs of >= 10 points are not a good play here and the same can be said of situations where the team with a high PBEPA average is facing an Opponent coming off a 4th Quarter Comeback in their last game and may be in position for a let-down. Games that meet either if these criteria are removed.

Teams coming off their Bye week are also decent against the spread in this case (remember, this is a negative system after all), as they have presumably had an extra week to work out some of their issues.

Let’s try to find out what we read more often fiction or non-fiction books? I want to tell you that nowadays it’s hard to distinguish to which of these two genres this or that book belongs. Thanks to the appearance of the so-called creative non-fiction genre. Although today it’s quite hard to differentiate between fiction and non-fiction books, we still are going to try find out which genre is more popular.

Actually we all love stories. It’s not that important whether these stories are in a George Bush’s Decision Points, on the big screen at the mall, or heard from the friend of yours, stories get us bewildered. It’s wonderful that they take us outside our comfortable world to places we’ve never been. With the help of stories we get introduced to people we’d never otherwise meet. Moreover, when reading, listening or looking at stories we get thrilled with adventures we’d be terrified to have in person, we may laugh openly at stupidity in high places. Besides, stories helps us to bring out our emotions and it’s the best thing about them.

When reading these lines we can conclude that, actually, fiction is what people like most, cause it brings out stories. And what about non-fiction books? As a matter of fact many nonfiction books are narratives. Moreover, they also tell us stories. Generally, biographies and autobiographies like Jon Stewart presents Earth tell true stories of peoples’ lives. Many history and travel books are above all, narrations. We can come to conclusion that some non-fiction books also tell us stories and in such a way can be interesting to most readers.

I want to admit that there exist various types of non-fiction books. Let’s find out whether they can be as popular as the fiction stories are. To start with, let’s look at such kind of non-fiction as a report. Actually, some business reports contain narratives but I don’t really thing that this kind of non-fiction can be interesting for the majority of readers. The only thing I can add is that most reports usually includes discussions of experiments, tests, procedures, and inspections may also be presented as narratives.

Talking about case studies we can conclude that these are basically stories told by spokespeople for businesses or organizations. Although we can call this type of nonfiction a story, still I doubt that it will be interesting to the wide circle of readers.

It should come as no surprise to even the most novice of pro-football bettors that the outcome of a team’s last game can have a significant effect on how they fare versus the number in their next contest. One particular area of interest in this regard concerns teams coming off a Clutch Win. NFL Picks

A ‘Clutch’ win-by my definition-is when a team tallies the final score of a game, in either the 4th quarter or overtime, moving them from a tied or losing position, into a winning one.

Teams coming off this so-called ‘gut-check’ win are slightly worse-than-average versus the spread in the following week (400-418 ATS since ’94) which in itself, is not a profitable situation when wagering at 10/11 odds.

The Clutch Win situation only becomes interesting when we add a second Primary condition that specifies that the current opponent of the team in question has a worse-than-average Starting Field Position Average Against (SFPA). The league average for SFPA is usually around 30 and in this case, we are interested in teams that have at-least a 31 average or higher.

SFPA basically tells us where a team’s defense normally starts out on the field. Squads with a high SFPA usually have a higher-than-average number of interceptions going against them in their own half of the field and also rank near the bottom of the league in terms of how well they defend on kick-off and punt returns. NFL Against the Spread

Teams with a high SFPA are also more likely to be near the bottom of the league in the ATS Wins department, but, unlike teams that falter against the number due to an ineffective offense or defense, teams that have been hurt by INT’s and long run-backs on opposing returns are much more likely to bounce back in future games and provide the astute bettor with considerable line-value.

Combining this line-value with a team in position for a possible let-down (due to the Clutch win factor) gives us a formidable negative situation that is 52-110 ATS (32.1%) ATS since 1994 and 3-8 ATS so far in 2007!

Rounding out this situation are 2 Secondary conditions which weed out opponents with a weak rush defense (evidenced by a high 1st Quarter Rush % against) and eliminates games in the post-season or Week 17.

When it comes to situational handicapping, it’s always best to work with trends that have as few conditions as possible and this one is very effective with only 4. Here are all the details:

(Notes: ASM stands for Average Spread Margin and TDIS% is the percentage of teams in the league that have been involved in this system at one time or another. WT% is the percentage of teams that are .500 or better and SPR is the average Spread for teams in this situation.) NFL Point Spread

If becoming a become a driving instructor is your hope there are some things you need to sensitive of about the certificate procedures. This commentary attempts to make you sensitive of the things you ought to do to become a driving instructor.

Do you desire to become a driving instructor? Well that is undeniably a distinguished career option and you will without a doubt climb up the ladder. However, do you know what does it take to become a great driving instructor and what are the certificate processes you ought to go through? Well the magnificent news is if you would like to become a driving instructor you need to pursue various simple ways. The procedure may be a bit different in some states but on the whole certainly can be quite similar across the country. To be acquainted with of the general procedure you need to read on.

To become a driving instructor the very first thing you need to do is engage yourself with a certified driving instructor training school. You will have to do this prior to completing the application to become a driving instructor. There is a Driver Instructional Services Division in every territory. You need to get a certificate packet from the Service Division of your territory. One thing you need to be watchful about is the fact you will be required to meet all the criterions required. You need to be at least 21 years old and need to have a diploma from high school or similar.

If you seek to become a driving instructor you will need to make sure you have valid license and permit in order to the drive the car for this job. To become a driving instructor you will need to undergo a driving record and criminal record check. If there is a driving education course you should complete make sure you do that. Proficiency in English is a must if you wish to become a driving instructor. You ought to verify your employment as a driving instructor with a certified and reputed driver education institute. This is something you must do.

To become a driving instructor there is something you must decide at the very onset. You can either be associated with a driver education institute or you can teach in a high school. You ought to decide where you desire to teach. If you hope to teach in a high school you will require a college degree as well as a certification from your state. So, you will need to find a wonderful community college that will give you an associates’ degree in education for drivers. So, if you hope to become a driving instructor pursue these simple steps. And then voila, you will be a good driving instructor.

That is how effortless it certainly is.

The first NFL Sunday is in the books and if your picks didn’t quite go as planned, you have a lot of company. And if you think you’re feeling out of sorts, imagine how the Colts and 49ers have to feel.

It is not uncommon for the Colts to go down to Houston and take a punch in the mouth. The difference has always been that Indy has found a way to get off the mat and go Rocky Balboa on the Texans. Not this game. The Colts run defense made a Week One star out of the Texans running back Arian Foster, who rushed for 231 yards and a pair of touchdowns in the Texans’ 34-24 win.

If you think Manning was somewhat mortal on Sunday, you would be mistaken. The Old Sheriff was on point, throwing for 433 yards with 3 touchdowns and no interceptions. But he sure could have used a little more help from his deputies. Some key drops by Pierre Garcon and a fumble by Austin Collie inside the Texans’ 10-yard line helped take care of a couple of Colts drives.

The loss confirmed suspicions that the Colts may not be able to walk over the AFC South as in years past. The Titans and Jaguars have shown an improved ability to compete and if Indianapolis’ defensive failures were more flaws than flukes, the Colts could be in for a long season.

Meanwhile, the action came in on the side of the San Francisco 49ers. While no one considered them a true Super Bowl contender, they certainly seemed to be the best group in a bad division – and definitely good enough to take care of the Seattle Seahawks in the first week, right?

with maybe the most disappointing single team performance on Sunday, the 49ers were knocked around on defense and confused on offense during their 28-6 blowout to the ‘Hawks. San Francisco marched deep into the red zone on three first-half possessions and tallied just two field goals and a failed fourth-down attempt.

The 49ers couldn’t even work together in the locker room after the game. Head coach Mike Singletary said the offensive confusion and calling of timeouts was the fault of headset communications problems. But quarterback Alex Smith said the problem was the coaches’ inability to call in plays in a timely fashion.

After one week, there’s no hard evidence that the 49ers can’t still win what is definitely a weak division. But the on- and off-field performances on Sunday showed that the 49ers still have a lot of work to do.

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The Texas Christian University Horned Frogs are a college football team that plays in the Mountain West Conference. Last season the Horned Frogs had a dream season. Many people do not realize it, but the Horned Frogs have had more success than most would think over the history of their playing college football.

The Horned Frogs have won two national championships over the years. This goes along with the 15 conference titles that they have won. Not only have they had great team efforts, but the Horned Frogs has had great individual players over the years. They have had a Heisman Trophy Winner and 15 Consensus All-Americans.

The National Championships won by the team came many years ago. The 1930s represented the greatest decade of success that the University has ever seen. 1935 is when it all started.

The Horned Frogs were led by head coach Dutch Meyer. The Team was having a top notch season and was on its way to win the national title. Unfortunately things took a turn for the worse as the season closed out. The Horned Frogs took on Stanford in the last game of the season. SMU was another one of the top teams in the nation at that time and managed to beat the Horned Frogs. Stanford went on to beat SMU in the Rose Bowl. This killed the hopes of SMU, but put the Horned Frogs in a great position. The Horned Frogs managed to win their Sugar Bowl game over LSU and claimed their first National Championship.

TCU found a great deal of confidence after that and managed to continue to stay a contender. In 1938 the Horned Frogs turned it up again and made a push for another National title.

The team was still led by Dutch Meyer, but this season they managed to come out without any losses unlike the season in 1935. The team finished the season with another victory in the Sugar Bowl. The team finished the season as the best team according to the Associated Press poll.

The team has not had a tremendous amount of success since those championships, but they have had times when they had relative successes. The team was a part of the Southwest Conference for years and was able to win the conference championship 9 times while in that conference. The team switched to the WAC and Conference USA for a time and managed to win the conference championship in each of those conferences as well.

The most famous player to come out of TCU in recent years was LaDanian Tomlinson. Tomlinson was a great player while at TCU, but he has since then become an even more noteworthy player since leaving. He will go down as the best player to ever have played in the NFL from TCU.

Last year TCU surprised everyone with a high powered offense. Their speed and game plan were too much for almost every team they faced as they managed to post a 12-1 record last season. TCU looks to start things off strong again in 2010 and would like to see an undefeated season.

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Sometimes you get the idea of trying to do something you have never done before. Some individuals knit, read books like George Bush’s Decision Points, Earth book other draw, there also are people whose hobby is writing. What’s more, some of them write fiction stories, others are trying themselves in writing non-fiction books. We are going to look at methods of creation of non-fiction books.

It should be said that there exist a number of writing methods for nonfiction writers. One of them is to create a classification system using the various items within your topic. I want to admit by categorizing or grouping individual items, you can write at a more general level for your readers. This suggests that by classifying notions in your book, you make the topic easier to understand for your readers.

What are the means to cope with this task? In fact to classify a group of items that belong to the same general topic, it is important to group them according to some specific trait or principle. And, if you can distinguish several individual items in the topic of your book (these can be ideas, subjects, etc), then you can use the classification method in your writing.

In order to do this, you, first of all, have to decide according to which principle you are going to sort your items. Find one quality that is present in all pieces you are going to classify and make the classification according to this quality. It’s important to fit all items into only one group, in accordance with your central organizing principle. If something goes wrong, you most probably have to change your central principle.
In fact you need to organize at least three groups to create a classification system. And, you can have as many of them as you want.

As soon as all items are organized into the groups, you need to check whether all groups are well organized. The well organized group is the group where all items fit properly in one group.
The next thing you have to do give each group a unique name. The cause for this is simple, you are devising the classification system, so you should find unique and original group names. Moreover, it’s important for each name to signify the contents of the group clearly with only one or two words.

Lastly, as soon as you have grouped your ideas, you can discuss your topic in more general terms, referring to the groups. That can help you to make a more clear narration.

When gambling on football you must look at the football gambling line statistics . Football game lines are set by casinos to try and split the action down the middle. Football point spreads are not used to predict how much a given team will win by. Casinos just care about splitting the action. For instance, if Carolina is favored by 3 over Atlanta. The casino just wants to even the action out. They may move the spread to 3.5 or 2.5 to get more bettors, and to make the action more even. If all the bets came in for Carolina and Carolina won, the casino would take a huge loss. Casinos are not into gambling they are into making money. Splitting the action down the middle ensures the casino will make money.NFL Picks

Football games normally end with one team winning by the following amounts: 1,3,4,6,7,10,11,13,14,17,20,21,23,24,27,28,and 31. I call these key points. When you see .5 added to a spread be careful because it could be a trap or a great deal. .5 can make all the difference in the world. If you get a spread of 5.5 then the .5 does not make a huge difference because most games don’t end with a team winning by 5. But a spread of 3.5 or 2.5 can make or break you. You must learn to read the gambling line statistics to determine why the casino placed the points where they did and why they moved a certain line.

Lastly when betting on football remember this, you are betting against the general public not the odds makers. The odds makers know everything the general public knows and they are trying to split the action based on the public’s knowledge. So the real question is “is the public wrong for this game?” For example the Colts lost Peyton Manning, now everyone is saying the Colts are going to get blown out. That is public perception, are they right or wrong? A couple of tips, normally when ESPN or any other sports guy is hyping a team, don’t listen. These guys just hype the team of the week. Also in the NFL the underdog wins a lot more than college.

NFL FOOTBALL STARTS IN ONE MONTH!!

While you all are sitting around sucking on a Pina Colada, I hope you are doing your due diligence and keeping up with the goings on in the National Football League. The Hall of Fame game will kickoff on August 6th from Canton, Ohio and will mark the return of Art Schell to the Raiders family! Football Picks

Also setting up shop in Raider land is former Saints quarterback Aaron Brooks and he will have some healthy wide receivers in Randy Moss, Jerry Porter and Doug Gabriel as well as talented running back Lamont Gordon. Oakland will be a better team mainly due to the fact that Norv Turner is not calling the shots anymore. With Schell simplifying the offense to a more play action and inside running style, points could be plentiful. They have added some major speed on defense in Texas standout Huff and UTEP linebacker Howard, but look for some high scoring affairs.

Life should be a bit calmer in Philadelphia for coach Andy Reid as they put the Owens fiasco behind them. They did go out and grab Jabar Gaffney from the Texans to go along with Todd Pinkston and Reggie Brown and they have a talented tight end in L.J. Smith.

From a betting perspective, you have to love the Eagles as they fly under the radar due to all the attention on the Redskins, Cowboys and Giants. Value can be found here!

Speaking of the Cowboys, the Bill Parcells – Terrell Owens era is about to come into our living rooms in the next month and most handicappers are expecting big things in Irving. If Parcells can get the offensive line straighten away, points will be plentiful. Owens demands double coverage so Terry Glenn and Jason Whitten will have huge years.

Another move that should lead to more wins and more scoring was the signing of veteran kicker Mike Vanderjadt!

He is the most accurate kicker in NFL history and a must have for a Cowboys team that lost at least three games last season because of poor kicking. Vanderjadt replaces the blundering threesome of Billy Cundiff, Shaun Suisham and Jose Cortez and should provide some colorful quotes for the media. NFL Football Picks

NFL football betting is by far the most popular area of the gaming industry. The purpose of this article is to familiarize the new bettor with the different aspects of NFL football betting. With that in mind, we’ll stick with the basic elements you’ll need to know.NFL Picks Forum

Normally, when betting against a point spread, you bet $110 to win $100. This is shown as – 110. The extra $10 is known as the “vig” or the “juice”. There are sports books out there that offer specials, such as “reduced juice” (- 105, for example). – 105 would mean that you’d be betting only $105 to win $100.

NFL football betting involves a betting line, also known as a point spread. For example, let’s say Miami is playing against Buffalo. Miami is listed as – 7, which means Miami is the favorite. Buffalo would then be listed as + 7, which makes them the underdog. If you place a bet on Miami at – 7, then Miami must win the game by more than seven points in order for you to win your bet. If you place a bet on Buffalo at + 7, then Buffalo must either win the game or lose by less than seven points in order for you to win your bet. If Miami wins by exactly seven points, then the game is a “push” or “no action” and everyone who wagered on one of the teams gets back their original wager amount.

You can certainly see where there would be much more opportunity to win by betting on Buffalo, since they don’t even have to win the game in order for you to win your wager. If you bet on Miami, on the other hand, they could win the game and you could still lose your wager if they do not win by more than seven. This is why many NFL football betting experts wager on nothing but underdogs. NFL Football Betting Forum

You may also see a Total listed for the game. For this example, let’s say there is a Total listed at 43. The total is the number of combined points scored by both teams in the game. If you think the two teams will combine to score more than the posted total of 43, then you would wager “Over the Total”. If you think the two teams will combine to score less than the posted total of 43, then you would wager “Under the Total”. If the total score ends up being exactly 43, then the total is a “push” or “no action” and everyone who wagered on the total gets back their original wager amount.

For this example, let’s say Miami won the game, 27 – 17. If you placed a bet on Miami at – 7, you’d subtract seven points from Miami’s score, making it Miami 20, Buffalo 17. If you placed a bet on Buffalo at + 7, you’d add seven points to Buffalo’s score, making it Miami 27, Buffalo 24. Either way, anyone who wagered on Miami won and anyone who wagered on Buffalo lost.

The actual final score of the game was Miami 27, Buffalo 17. That’s a total of 44 points. The posted total line was 43. So, bettors who wagered on “Over the Total” won their bets since 44 is over, or higher than, 43. Bettors who wagered “Under the Total” lost their wagers.

Those are the basics. I hope the examples above helped those of you who are new to the world of NFL football betting. You’re now ready to begin your own NFL football betting. Good luck. NFL Forum

Football returned to gridirons, TV screens and sports books recently, and while the game surely was a welcome sight for bored eyes, bulging wallets, beer distributors and casino spread sheets, there also is a widely held perception that when it comes to NFL betting, gamblers hold an edge over bookmakers early in the season.

Roxy Roxborough, the founder of Las Vegas Sports Consultants and the man who revolutionized sports wagering by using mathematical formulas and computer models to help compute accurate odds, disagrees with that notion.NFL Picks

“For years it’s been said that oddsmakers are more vulnerable earlier in the year because the teams are new, but I don’t buy it,” said Roxborough, now retired. “Oddsmakers work with the same information as the bettors. Sometimes it’s just a matter of interpretation. In the case of NFL betting, you often have teams with new coaches and–because of trades, free agency or injuries–new quarterbacks. You don’t learn a lot in the exhibition season and that’s basically because teams try to limit the playing time of their significant players because they’re worried about them getting hurt. So you really have to start making assessments based on projections rather than past performances. But I think the oddsmakers and the players are in the same spot. I don’t believe there is any inherent edge early in the NFL betting season. Sometimes people just pick winners. That’s important to remember. Technically, the pointspread makes each game a 50/50 proposition so there are going to be times when players pick more winners than losers.”

The early portion of the NFL betting season is no more stressful than any other segment of the season, insisted Roxborough.

“I don’t think there’s pressure on any particular game or any particular week but I think there is pressure over the long haul to produce,” he said. “Oddsmakers shouldn’t measure their work after a week or after a month. It’s better to assess it in terms of the entire season.”

Nevertheless, the tendency is for both NFL bet takers and NFL bet makers to take stock every Tuesday morning. Interestingly, Roxborough says that winning or losing over a 7-day period usually is determined by the results of only a handful of games.NFL Football Picks

“Generally, when wiseguys and squares clash, when they wind up on opposite sides of a game, it’s because the public has pushed the favorite too high and the sharps, who perceive some value, buy back the underdog,” explained Roxborough, who literally wrote the book (Race and Sports Book Management) on the topic. “That often helps balance the line. But there are games each week where the public and the squares wind up on the same side and those games are the biggest decisions.

“If I can break down a typical 14 or 15-game NFL weekend, there are usually four or five games where there’s not much of a decision,” explained Roxborough, who founded LVSC on his kitchen table in 1982. “For some reason, those game aren’t particularly attractive, be it the matchup or that people don’t see any edge in the number. Those games don’t move. Then there are four or five games where the NFL betting action is split, where there’s good two-way action. And then there are a handful of games–let’s say four–where most of the action is on one team, where the betting is very one-sided. It all comes down to those one-sided games. If the bookmaker splits them, because of the vigorish, he does fine. If he goes 3-1, he does great; if he goes 4-0, he does absolutely fantastic; if he goes 1-3, that’s not so good; if he goes 0-4, that’s a disaster.”

Although any new season offers fresh hope for the bettor, Roxborough, who was a professional gambler for five years before launching his oddsmaking company, pointed out that few professional players earn their living betting football.

“If I were still a professional gambler I wouldn’t play NFL football,” revealed Roxborough. “For starters, there aren’t enough games. So trend analysis, which was one thing I was big on, is pointless. Second, you can’t turn your money over fast enough to get a reasonable rate of return because you only get to choose from 13-16 games a week and each team only plays 16 games. I just never saw NFL betting as being a viable opportunity. That’s why most sports betting pros end up wagering on what they call linear sports, sports such as baseball and pro basketball.”Football Picks