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Bad Baseball Pitchers You Love To Bet On
April is long gone and we have had a full month of Major League Baseball. Now is the time to look back at statistics accumulated in April and use that to predict what will happen in May. So many trends have already taken form, especially with pitching. So pitching is my focus today.
Today I am going to pick on Gil Meche of the Kansas City Royals. First, let me tell you a little about Meche. He is right handed 6 foot 3 inches tall and weighs 220 pounds. Meche is 31 years old, born is Louisiana and is in his 10th season. This is Meche’s 4th season with the Royals, previously he was with the Mariners.
Meche is not having good season. No, not even close. You see I look for pitchers that are having a season just like Meche is. Then I bet against them until they can turn it around.
Today is Tuesday May 4th and Meche just chalked up another loss last night against the White Sox. He currently is 0-3 as a starter. The Royals are 0-5 as a team when has had the start. You see two of the starts Meche only went 3 innings. His ERA has actually improved to 9.89 now.
Not only is Meche losing every start so far this year. He gives up so many hits that the score always goes over the total. Well not always, last night against the White Sox the game went shockingly went under. So now the Royals, in games where Meche has started, have gone over the total 4 out of 5 times. Last nights game was an improvement for the final score was only 5 to 1 loss.
The average total of runs scored in Meche’s fives starts is now 9.89. The average line on the total for his starts is 9.5 runs. For now, I would look at betting against Meche and bet the total to go over as long as the number is under 10. Eventually Meche will come out of this slump, but until he does you just play the trend. Baseball is all about trends and streaks and here we have one.
Since Meche just pitched last night, he yet to be scheduled as a probable starter. It does not seem to matter whether he pitches at home or away the result and numbers are about the same. I will monitor the Royals rotation this week to see when he gets his next start.
Unfortunately, the Royals as usual are last place in the American League Central with a 10-16 record. Only Baltimore Orioles has a worse record in the American League. Some things never Change in Kansas City and that is another good reason to seek out trends going against the Royals.
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