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Baseball Handicapping Tips
If you ever wagered on a baseball game you probably have discovered that it is one of the more profitable sports to bet on. Unfortunately, many are not able to see this and rather bet on one of the other sports where they believe winning is more likely.
No doubt, it takes a lot of time to handicap the sport of baseball. With 162 games in a season and games played daily you need to pay close attention. There are numerous team, individual and ballpark statistics that constantly need to be analyzed. Following statistics as part of a handicapping system is a vital process in covering your baseball picks. Here are a few suggestions to help eliminate some unnecessary handicapping and shorten your work load.
It is good idea to avoid betting on any baseball team that is favorite, that is has a price greater than -1.50, don’t even look at this teams. The philosophy on this is that routinely betting on teams of -1.50 or means that you will have to cover 3 out 4 bets to have any chance to turn a winning profit. With high prices like this one loss feels two loses maybe even like three loses. If all you like are high priced favorites then you want to simply parlay the teams in groups of two. A Parlay on the two favorites at least offers a valuable return.
Many handicappers like to play the run line when betting baseball. This is risky so make sure to avoid betting on a home favorite with the run line. The reason here is the home team needs to win by 2 or more runs to win on the run line. We all know the home team if ahead in the middle of the 9th inning does not have to bat to complete the inning the game is simply over now. If the game is tied at the bottom of the 9th inning as soon the home team scores one run the game is over regardless how many outs there are. Unless there is a home run with men on base you have little chance to cover this bet. That lack of batting appearance can work against you.
Baseball is a game of streaks. If a team wins or losses 3 games in a row it is considered to be streak. You want to avoid betting against a team that is currently in a streak. Does not matter, a winning streak or losing streak. Either bet within the streak or avoid the action all together. I like to bet on the streak until it ends that is as long as the betting price is not too high.
At last, either avoid or bet against a pitcher that is making his major league debut. This is a huge psychological battle the first time starter is going through. We know the physical battle part but getting your first start puts the pitcher in a risky position as they are being battle tested for the first time.
If you find yourself only interested in betting on teams with high prices (greater than -1.50) then consider putting them in a 2 team parlay or a 3 team round robin betting the 2 and 3 options. I prefer not to bet the run line laying the 1.5 runs. The main reason I favor betting on baseball is because of the money line where I only have to outright win the game to cash my ticket. I hate backdoor covers!
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